Measles: Should You Be Scared?

Measles: Should You Be Scared? What I uncovered during my in depth research and analysis — janny: organically.

 

For the past several decades, the death rate for measles has been as close to zero as you can get. People in the United States are dying at a far more rapid rate from falling out of bed or as a victim to a toppling vending machine, but not from the measles.  

The side effects from the pamphlets alone are enough to frighten anyone, but then try researching each disease and their corresponding vaccine and the internet is full of half facts, mixed messages, news articles, opinion editorials and blogs for and against vaccines and A LOT of hate for the opposition.

This post will include facts, statistics and quotes from credible sources I uncovered when calculating the risk/benefit analysis of the measles vaccination for my family. 

Before I get into my findings, I want to make a statement about the culture of fear we have in the United States. The media uses words like “Epidemic” and “Outbreak” to rattle the nerves of the general public and profits by doing so. For example, what exactly qualifies something as an epidemic or outbreak? The CDC defines them as follows:

 

Epidemic: The occurrence of more cases of disease than expected in a given area or among a specific group of people over a particular period of time.

Outbreak: Synonymous with epidemic. Sometimes the preferred word, as it may escape sensationalism associated with the word epidemic. Alternatively, a localized as opposed to generalized epidemic.
— http://www.cdc.gov/reproductivehealth/Data_Stats/Glossary.htm

 

Pretty vague, right? If the CDC was expecting 10 cases of the measles in the U.S. in 2016 and there ends up being 11, technically, that would be an epidemic or outbreak.

A number of people I know (and thousands I don’t) have taken to the internet to assign blame to specific groups of people for the recent measles cases to the point of wishing death upon them. Hundreds of articles and blogs on the topic are filled with snide and snarky remarks for the opposing side, both so confident the other is being blind or stupid to the facts.   

The core of the arguments from parents reveal their common goal is to keep their children safe and healthy, but it comes out as pure hate for anyone that disagrees with them.

So here is scientific information and facts from government run organizations such as the Center for Disease Control (CDC), World Health Organization (WHO) and Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS), a few medical journals and even some government testimony.

Polio

While I want to focus on measles, I think it’s important to give a quick overview of Polio because I want to show you that data manipulation for diseases is nothing new. I think the general consensus on what happened with Polio is back in the day, a lot of people contracted polio, a lot of people died then a vaccine came and saved the population.

Not exactly.

A starting point is difficult to pinpoint, because Polio was on the decline and then skyrocketed when the Diphtheria and Pertussis vaccines were introduced in the early 40’s.

 

 

Measles: Should You Be Scared? What I uncovered during my in depth research and analysis — janny: organically.

Source: National Morbidity Reports taken from U.S. Public Health surveillance reports; Lancet (April 18, 1950), pp. 659-63

Dr. Greenburg, University of North Carolina School of Public Health, testified before Congress in 1962 that the cases of Polio increased after the introduction of the Polio Vaccine by 50% between 1957-1958 and by 80% between 1958-1959. (Source: Hearings Before the Committee on Interstate and Foreign Commerce, House of Representatives, 87th Congress, 2nd Session on HR 10541. May 1962:94–112)

 At the same time the vaccine was introduced, the criteria for diagnosing Polio changed:

  • Prior to the vaccine introduction: Patient had to show signs of paralysis for 24 hours and no follow up confirmation of residual paralysis.
  • After the vaccine introduction: Patient had to show signs of paralysis for at least 60 days, and two follow up confirmations of residual paralysis were required.

What was classified as Polio prior to the vaccine, was then classified as Aseptic Meningitis or Acute Flaccid Paralysis, which includes Poliomyelitis, Transverse Myelitis, Guillain-Barre syndrome (Source: Anis-ur-Rehman, Idris M, Elahi M, Jamshed, Arif A (Jan–Mar 2007). "Guillain Barre syndrome: the leading cause of acute flaccid paralysis in Hazara division" and the CDC)

Measles: Should You Be Scared? What I uncovered during my in depth research and analysis — janny: organically.


Source: The Los Angeles County Health Index: Morbidity and Mortality, Reportable Diseases

 

 

AFP continues to rise as of 2011 and is simply another classification of what would have been Polio in 1955. According to WHO, there is no data for AFP prior to 1996.

 

 

Source: Congressional Hearings, May 1962; and National Morbidity Reports taken from U.S. Public Health surveillance reports.

In 1976, Dr. Jonas Salk, creator of the killed-virus vaccine used in the 1950s, testified that the live-virus vaccine (used almost exclusively in the U.S. from the early 1960s to 2000) was the “principal if not sole cause” of all reported polio cases in the U.S. since 1961. Washington Post, September 24, 1976 

I included this section on Polio because I believe the facts presented seem to cast serious doubt the story we are all told.  I think this relates to all vaccines including the Measles...which we will look into next.  

 

Measles

 

The CDC describes the Measles as an acute viral infectious disease starting with a fever, (peaking as high as 103-105), followed by a cough, runny nose or pink eye followed by a rash. 

 

In 1963 it was estimated that 3-4 million measles cases occurred each year (even though only 549,000 were reported) and 495 measles deaths were reported annually. 

  • In 1963, the U.S. population was 189,240,000, which means:
  • Somewhere between 0.29% to 2.11% of the population contracted measles each year
  • 0.00026% died from measles that year  

Let’s look at a few of the more recent measles “outbreaks” in the United States:

1990 Outbreak

  • The U.S. Population in 1990 was 249,620,000
  • There were 27,000 cases of measles (Between 26,520 and 27,672) which is 0.01% of the population.
  • 89 suspected (not confirmed) measles related deaths, which is 0.000036% of the population.

1996 Outbreak

  • The US population was 269,390,000
  • There were 488 cases of measles or 0.00018% of the population
  • There were 0 deaths.

2011 NY Measles Outbreak

  • The NY population in 2011 was 8,273,100
  • There were 89 cases of measles or 0.001% of the NY Population.
  • There were 0 deaths.
  • The index patient (Patient Zero) was vaccinated twice for measles before the outbreak. There are many, many stories like these for so many ‘vaccine preventable diseases’, where patient zero is a vaccinated person, indicating the outbreak may have originated from the vaccine.

2014 NY Measles Outbreak

  • The NY population in 2014 was 8,405,837
  • There were 20 cases of measles or 0.0002% of the NY Population.
  • There were 0 deaths.
  • 18 of the 20 individuals in this event were vaccinated for the measles 

I like to think of myself as a rational person and I certainly don't want to minimize the suffering and loss of life in any statistics. However, when you have that many leading zeros to the right of the decimal point, it's hard for me to use words like "outbreak" and "epidemic" with a clear conscience. 

Now let’s back up a bit. According to the CDC Vital Statistics Rates in the U.S. (Page 85, Figure 19), Measles deaths were on a steady decline long before the vaccine was introduced in 1963:

   

 

 

Source: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/vsus/vsrates1940_60.pdf

Do you see what I see? It shows that yes, the measles was still present, was practically non-lethal using the medical resources of the day. Quite possibly our ability to obtain clean water and practice safer hygienic practices played a large role as well.

A 2004 statistical study of disease rates in cities found clean water to be the reason for rapid declines in urban death rates during the late 19th and early 20th Centuries. The study concludes that clean water was responsible for “nearly half of the total mortality reduction in major cities, three-quarters of the infant mortality reduction, and nearly two-thirds of the child mortality reduction.” The study puts forth a striking finding — that chlorination and filtration reduced typhoid fever by 91percent within 5 years, leading to its near-eradication by 1936
— Cutler, D., G. Miller, 2004. The role of public health improvements in health advances: the 20th century United States. National Bureau of Economic

What about Severe Complications of Measles?

The CDC wants to make sure we are aware of the severe complications that can arise with the measles, namely:

  • Pneumonia
  • Encephalitis
  • Death

These complications are rare and are most likely to arise in malnourished and vitamin deficient individuals, which is why it would seem the CDC uses global statistics since they would include third world countries.                         

But if you are concerned about possibly encountering these rare, severe complications with measles, I encourage you to look at the MMR vaccine insert, which includes warnings of potential side effects including:

  • Pneumonia
  • Encephalitis
  • Death
  • Other possible side effects of the vaccine include: Measles, Vasculitis, Pancreatitis, Diabetes, Thrombocytopenia, Anaphylaxis, Angioneurotic Edema, Arthritis, Stevens-Johnson syndrome, Deafness, Conjunctivitis AND Guillain-Barré Syndrome and Aseptic Meningitis (These last two would have been classified as Polio prior to 1963). 
  • Studies confirm that individuals vaccinated with a live virus, like MMR (Measles, Mumps, Rubella) can shed the virus for weeks/months infecting both the vaccinated and unvaccinated. The National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI) showed a positive measles results in 10 out of 12 recently vaccinated children

Bottom line:

  • If you do not vaccinate, you:
    • run the risk of catching the measles naturally
      • If contracted, there is a very rare chance a complication can arise
  • If you do vaccinate, you:
    • run the risk of catching the measles naturally
      • If contracted, there is a very rare chance a complication can arise AND
    • run the risk of experiencing adverse effects from the vaccine
      • In 2013 alone, there were 1,364 of adverse effects from the MMR vaccine, including the very diseases they were supposed to prevent
      • Update: Brian Shilhavy at Vaccine Impact posted the case articles from the CDC showing that there were 108 measles-related vaccines deaths over the past 10 years.

My report from the 2013 VAERS data showed there were 128 vaccine related deaths in 2013. I'm curious to know their yearly expected death counts - when are these deaths considered an epidemic?

Parents of young children are often told that the unvaccinated are dangerous for your children to be around, I’d encourage you to read this Oxford Journals study, which concludes the following:

Children of mothers vaccinated against measles and, possibly, rubella have lower concentrations of maternal antibodies and lose protection by maternal antibodies at an earlier age than children of mothers in communities that oppose vaccination. This increases the risk of disease transmission in highly vaccinated populations.
— http://jid.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2013/04/29/infdis.jit143.full.pdf+html

Read that again if it didn’t sink in!

As of 2012, the CDC immunization records report a 91% and 91.4% MMR vaccine compliance in children between the ages of 19-35, and adolescents aged 13-17 years. It would seem that our national average is pretty high. Is the vaccine the reason for higher disease transmission in children? I don’t know, but these are some eye-opening facts listed above.

As a mother of a young child, I believe your best bet for steering clear of viral infections is to keep your family well nourished; A balanced diet, limiting sugar, starches and refined-sugars, and ensuring a proper amount of vitamin supplements (particularly Vitamin A, C and D). I give my daughter Cod Liver OilHomemade Vitamins with Vitamin C and D and Probiotics, and only when I skimped on this did she encounter her first real viral attack last month!)

Leading Causes of Death?

In 2013, WHO reported that measles is one of the leading causes of deaths among young children, but they don't support this claim in their top 10 causes of death reports for the same year. The CDC was the only one who seemed to publish death by age, and measles is not on this list either. Note: 2013 does not seem to be available yet but the data has remained the same since 2009.

I want to add this: According to that same CDC Report, you should be far more concerned about your child accidentally drowning than catching the measles, much less dying from it. Two of the leading causes of death in many age categories are Cardiovascular and Diabetes, both of which are immediate and long-term effects of childhood obesity. The CDC statistics show that childhood obesity rates in the United States have doubled in children and quadrupled in adults over the past 30 years. Yet, it seems to be too expensive to overhaul the school lunch offerings and the ‘American Way’ entitles us to daily indulgence in junk food, sugar, refined carbs, artificial colors/flavor, etc. etc. etc. 

R-E-S-P-E-C-T

I write this to share information and be straight forward about these facts all coming from the same sources that tell you measles is something to be afraid of. I want to encourage everyone to do their own research. Do not rely on me or any other blogger, reporter or even health official to do it for you.  I understand these are hard things to read, hear and process, believe me!

I believe we all want what’s best for our families. So can we all try to let this hate towards the “other side” subside? I can’t accomplish that for everyone, but I can write a blog post that extends kindness to everyone, no matter what your decision. Give someone a hug, and if they happen to pass some germs and you end up getting the measles, well, I hope by now you realize it’s really not the end of the world.

And, let’s not forget, if you are still torn or confused and put your faith in Christ as I do, you know that vaccine or not, measles or not, NOTHING can shorten or diminish the days He predestined for you on this earth. Let's just be as responsible as we can and do our due diligence with what he's entrusted to us.

Number of West Wing References in this post: 1 (I can't believe I pulled that one off).